Deals Closed in 2014 – Statistical Analysis

Approximately 50% deals took between four months to six months to close in 2014. See illustration below. Based on this distribution, on an average, a business will take 8.5 months to sell. The time required to sell a business depends on a number of factors including type of business and asking price for the business and type of buyer. Types of business include Manufacturing, Business services, Consumer goods & services, Health care & biotech, Wholesale & distribution and several others. There are two types of buyer’s strategic buyer and financial buyer. Understanding the buyer type is perhaps the single most important factor when it comes to engaging a buyer and negotiating a deal.

Time to sell Business

There are several reasons a business transaction may fall through. Top three reasons are valuation gap in pricing (29%), insufficient cash flow (22%), and lack of capital to finance (12%). Valuation gap is responsible for almost 30% deals not going through. Both the buyer and seller must complete valuation of the business independently and come up with a valuation range. If there is an overlap then zone of probable agreement (ZOPA) exists and there is a good chance the two parties will find a number during negotiations.

Insufficient cash-flow and lack of capital to finance is another major reason to deals do not go through. It is important to qualify buyers before negotiating a deal.

Reasons For Failing

Of the 30% deals that did not go through because of valuation gap, 65% of the deals had a gap between 10% and 30%. As expected the numbers deals failing for less than 10% gap is very low. When the numbers are so close the buyers and sellers should generally be able to agree on a number and come to a deal.

About 50% are strategic buyers and 50% are financial buyers. Financial buyers will not negotiate much as they have to stick to their financial models. Strategic buyers on the other hand have longer term view and may have synergies with existing assets. On a an average, 21% strategic buyers paid 0-10% more and 29% paid 11-20% more.

Valuation Gap Business Deals

For these reasons it is critical for sellers clearly understand the buyer persona. Financial buyers look for value and evaluate business financial statements in detail. They leave very little room for premium and remain close to the valuation price. They are driven by Return on Investment (ROI) and use large amounts of financing. A financial buyer may not hold the business for long. They may fix the business, improve the financial statements and sell the business.

Strategic buyers on the other hand tend to stay in the business for long periods of time. They may buy the business to enter into a new market, increase market share or foreclose a competitor from acquiring the business. In terms of duration, strategic deals are also done much faster. Strategic deals are preferred because they are done within six months, there are lower chances of valuation gap pricing issues and seller may walk away with a small premium between 10% and 30%.